"As many of you well know, President Nelson has called for a global fast to help in the fight against the coronavirus pandemic. It's a very well timed call because the scientific data is telling us that in the next week or two, rates of infection will begin slowing in many countries, including the US. This will be ENTIRELY due to the science-led introduction of social distancing rules, but get ready to hear Mormons claiming it happened because they skipped two meals.
"I cycle every other day, at a safe distance, with a math teacher (I'm allergic to math
 ). He has been plotting a curve on the case growth data for each country and using the curve to predict when cases will peak. A few weeks ago, before social distancing began in earnest, these curves looked very grim. It was looking like many millions of Americans would get infected in the next month resulting in the hospital system being totally overwhelmed. Just a week ago the peak was looking like half a million. If he just uses the growth data for the last three days it is looking closer to 200-250,000 for the US. This does not mean in a couple of weeks we go back to normal life. It hopefully means the hospital system may be spared being utterly overwhelmed and many people dying from other causes.
). He has been plotting a curve on the case growth data for each country and using the curve to predict when cases will peak. A few weeks ago, before social distancing began in earnest, these curves looked very grim. It was looking like many millions of Americans would get infected in the next month resulting in the hospital system being totally overwhelmed. Just a week ago the peak was looking like half a million. If he just uses the growth data for the last three days it is looking closer to 200-250,000 for the US. This does not mean in a couple of weeks we go back to normal life. It hopefully means the hospital system may be spared being utterly overwhelmed and many people dying from other causes. "This same slow down can be seen in many countries. We will almost certainly see a flattening of the curve in new cases in the next week or two. The death curve will flatten out a week or two later. To keep it low we will need to keep isolating, but we could probably start to see some restrictions being lifted.
"Let's not forget who REALLY helped the world avoid a major catastrophe here. The flattening of the curve that we will soon see is due to honest, hardworking scientists in a wide range of fields. It will not be due to a sadistic being who allowed the pandemic to kick off and then jumped in at the last minute to save us."




 Funny, but not out of the realm of possibility.
 Funny, but not out of the realm of possibility.



